Winter 2013 - Why is it going to be so bad? The animals know!
|1. On August 13th, 2013 I was attending a car show that was hosted by a local farmer. In the field where the show was set there was also tame deer very approachable. These deer had winter coats growing already. In August!|
2. On August 22 while moving some rocks in a front garden I found a wooly worm, black, very black.
3. All thoughout the month of August and September, normally a very hot month, I watched birds migrate as if it were November.
4. Each year we have two sets of Canadian geese at our pond, summer geese and winter geese. The summer geese usually leave around October and the winter geese arrive in December. This year the summer geese left in August and the winter geese arrive in November. The winter geese usually stay all winter. The winter geese have already left! In the last ten years they have never done this.
5. I have a Begal and a Degal, both started winter coats in August.
6. I also entertain a Tegu (large lizzard), and he stops or slows his intake when the seasons change. The last two years he didn't slow his eating until December. This year, in September.
7. So much heat left in the Atlantic, both off the east coast and the gulf! So much heat left in the Pacific, and sending moisture across the entire US.
(3)Formal weather bulletins sent to each east coast State Governor - Including Georgia
SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN
001eus1 Sent in October 4th, 2013
001eus2 Sent in November 28th, 2013
001eus3 Sent in January 2014
|Dear Governor, |
My name is Dr. Julian Gothican, and I run the Mid-Atlantic Hurricane Center. It's only a two man operation, therefore, we don't receive much attention. This year many signs have presented themselves for the upcoming winter, but it has my practice NOT to forecast the winter month, however this year I must speak out. The empirical signs, my research, and others expectations suggest that the upcoming winter will be epic. I've been studying and researching weather for twenty years, and derive long range forecasting models with a primary focus on the tropical Atlantic. However, born in Newberry Michigan, the winter months have always drawn my attention. Each and every sign I typically look at for the upcoming winter are without incongruity. This winter season for the east coast may well be the most significant in 100 years.
To explain why this might happen we must look to our dismal tropical season. The tropics did not behave as expected. The Mid-Atlantic Hurricane Center's prediction of 22 storms, NOAA's forecast of 19 storms, and the National Hurricane Center's forecast of 17 storm was way off target.
Although these storms are very dangerous and cause great destruction, they do serve a purpose. These storms remove heat from the ocean through inversion, as well as deriving their own energy from the water. However, less storms translate into warmer east coast and gulf waters for the winter. One might think this is a good thing, and it would be if the coastal waters were that warm, but the warmer water will only create greater volatility with the low pressure systems or Nor'easter moving up the east coast. We had a dry nor'easter run up the east coast in September, and another that made Thanksgiving travel a nightmare. These storms were only test runs for what may be an epic winter!
Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida may be dealing with major winter storm after major winter storm this year. You should have begun to prepare with the centers first bulletin, but if you haven't, begin preparing now! We may see low temperatures not seen since well before the Clinton government shutdown, and these temperatures may reach Florida. Florida citrus may be wiped out if they don't begin preparing now!
The center stands nothing to gain by telling you this, and our concern runs deep. In the last ten years we've been correct about every winter, no matter how mild, or oppressive. Do not expect our government to bail you out. Please get prepared! We have an, "Evergreen", winter on its way!
Dr. Julian Gothican